How To Understand Odds
With more states legalizing sports betting, understanding how to read odds is becoming ever more important.
Understanding betting odds is vital when considering which bets are worth taking and determining if you will be successful or not. If you have no idea about how betting odds work or implied probability, you will likely struggle to make money wagering on sports long term.
Odds represent the likelihood of an outcome occurring. In sports betting, each team is assigned odds that represent the likelihood of them winning the game. When the odds for two teams are even, meaning 1 to 1, it means that each team is equally as likely to win the game. K nowing how to read odds is something anyone who is thinking of placing a bet should take time to understand. The odds reflect your selection’s chance of winning in the eyes of the bookmakers. NHL Betting Odds Explained. Thanks for visiting ExplainBettingOdds.com, where we will help you understand exactly how to read NHL betting odds.The NHL is a fast-paced sport, complete with a ton of action and wild entertainment. If you’ve started to research exactly how sports betting works, then you’ve probably heard the term “implied probability”. The odds are what suggest a particular outcome in any match, and the implied probability refers to the prospect of that outcome. To calculate the implied probability you need to convert the odds into a percentage.
Odds are displayed in numerous different formats, but they are easy to understand. Essentially, you use the odds to calculate the implied probability of a particular outcome of a sporting event. There is no need to be a genius with numbers to grasp how sportsbook odds work. However, if you have no knowledge of what betting odds reflect, your chances of winning diminish significantly.
Understanding odds is possibly the most crucial factor in becoming a successful sports bettor. It will determine how much money you want to bet and figuring out which wagers provide the most value. So, if you have read your sports gambling for dummies book and are still wondering ‘how do odds work’? Let’s delve into this odds explained article.
American Odds
There are three classic formats in which odds are displayed; Fractional odds, decimal odds, and American odds. In this section, we are going to focus on American odds. Most online sportsbooks will display their odds as ‘American odds.’ There are different versions of sports betting odds, but American odds are the most typically used.
American odds are displayed as either positive or negative odds. The below is an example of an NFL game between the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks.
New England Patriots +120
Seattle Seahawks -140
The number in the bracket is the odds for the match. In American betting, there are two components to the odds, a positive and a negative sign and the number that follows the sign. Positive odds reflect your profit, while negative odds reflect the amount of money you would need to bet in order to win $100.
When placing a bet, if the odds are negative, it means the outcome is more likely to happen, so wagering on that outcome would mean the payout would be less than the amount you bet. On the other hand, a positive sign indicates that the outcome is less likely to occur, and the payout would be more than the amount you wagered. Essentially it is showing you who is the favorite and who is the underdog.
The next step is calculating exactly how much the bet pays out, where understanding US betting odds come into play. A listed odd with a – shown in front of it, like in our example above, tells us how much money we need to bet to win $100. So if as above the odds are -140, you would need to bet $140 to make a profit of $100. Alternatively, you could replace the $100 bet with a $10 bet by moving the decimal point across one spot, showing you must wager $14 in order to win $10 in profits.
Any listed odds with a + sign in front informs us how much money you would win with a $100 bet. If we use the +120 odds, a $100 bet on that outcome will pay out $120 in profits. Once again, this can be converted to a smaller or larger bet depending on how lucky you feel. Betting $10 on +120 odds would pay out $12 in profits.
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One of the perks of odds in sports and betting with online sportsbooks is that they calculate everything for you before you place your wager. Players can click on the outcome or team they want to bet on, then enter the amount they wish to wager, and it will display how much you could potentially win before you click confirm and submit your bet.
How To Calculate Implied Probability
Implied probability reflects the likelihood of a particular outcome, as shown by the odds. Calculating this involves converting odds into a percentage, which then indicates how likely that event will occur against the alternative. It is beneficial to have a grasp of implied probability as if your estimate of the likelihood of an event happening is different from a sportsbook’s; you will need to adjust your bet accordingly.
For example, if you believed one team had a 60% chance of winning, and the implied probability was 52.4%, you should take that bet. In our example of the NFL game above, the Patriots have odds of +120 to win the game, so what is the implied probability of these odds?
Implied probability=100 divided by (120 + 100)
Implied probability = 100 divided by 230
Implied probability = 0.4545
Using this example, the Pats’ implied probability of winning the game is 0.4545 (or 45.45%). So the chances of the Pats winning the game, according to the bookmaker, are rated at 43.45%.
It can be challenging to calculate implied probability, so using the below formula may be helpful:
Risk/Return = Implied Probability
How To Understand Odds Ratio
Decimal Odds
Decimal odds are the most straightforward to understand. They are mostly used across Europe, so you are less likely to encounter them in the United States. To calculate decimal odds, you will need to multiply the amount you wish to bet by the decimal odds shown to get your payout. Below is an example of how decimal odds are displayed:
LA Lakers 2.40
Chicago Bulls 1.55
If you chose to place a wager on the LA Lakers at 2.40, you need to multiply your $10 bet by the 2.40 odds given (10 x 2.40) to determine that the payout is $24. It is crucial to understand when you read betting odds that decimal style already includes the amount you wagered. Consequently, to find out your potential profits, you need to subtract your wager ($24 – $10), and you will realize your payout is $14 in profits.
If you decided to bet $10 on the Chicago Bulls, again, you would multiply $10 x 1.55, and you will find out you could win $15.50 total or $5.50 in profits. Betting using Decimal style odds is straightforward, but they are not commonly offered in American sportsbooks. However, most online betting sites you come across will give players the option of choosing the style of betting odds they want to be displayed, with American odds typically the default option.
Fractional Odds
Similar to decimal odds, fractional odds are more commonly used in Europe, particularly on horse racing in the UK. These may look unusual to an American bettor, as the odds are displayed like 10/5 or 1/2 that you would encounter if you were to watch the Kentucky Derby.
The number of the left (10) reflects how many times the operator expects the relevant outcome to fail. The number on the right (5) shows us how many times the outcome is expected to succeed. For example, let’s look at a soccer match in the English Premier League between Chelsea and Liverpool. The odds for Chelsea are 8/13. This means that if the game took place 21 times (8+13), Chelsea would lose eight times but win 13.
Therefore, the potential winnings are more significant when betting on Liverpool in this particular scenario. When you wager on the underdog in any sporting event, you risk less for a potentially greater total payout.
Additionally, in sports such as the NFL, you can choose different types of bets, such as a point spread, which gives players the chance to bet on which team will win by a specific number of points. The best sportsbooks will offer numerous sports betting options.
How To Read Vegas Odds
Las Vegas is known as the gambling mecca of the world. People flock from all corners of the globe to experience the Vegas strip’s bright lights and thriving atmosphere. Before you make the trip, it would be extremely beneficial if you have an understanding Vegas odds.
Odds in Vegas are typically displayed on massive boards, similar to something from the New York Stock Exchange. The boards are updated continuously, giving the bettor all of the up to date information needed to make a sensible bet. There are literally thousands of bets all listed above you as you.
These boards tell us the favorites, the underdogs, total payout, and where the decent money is. It is vital players know how to read Vegas odds in order to make a smart bet. You may think you know the sport you are betting on very well, and understanding how the odds work is equally as important.
The types of wagers you can expect to see in Vegas include:
- Moneyline
- American Odds
- Point Spread
- Totals
- Placing A Vegas Bet
So, you understand reading Vegas odds NFL and the time has come to lay your money down. You will notice another set of numbers on the big boards, and these are known as the rotation numbers. These numbers are assigned to a team so the bookmaker can distinguish one from the other.
They appear to the left of the sports and teams on the board, such as in the example below:
101 New York Yankees +350 212.5
102 LA Dodgers -440 -8(-110)
The numbers are there to help the sportsbook, and the player keeps track of the bet. This is required as there are so many sports, teams, and bets that are occurring at the same time. Ultimately, the action in Las Vegas doesn’t stop. We have mentioned above in this article how to read odds. You must take this knowledge with you if you are planning a trip to Las Vegas. The biggest difference here is the odds are displayed on huge boards rather than on TV screens in a sportsbook.
What US Sportsbooks offer the best odds?
This is always a tricky question as there are so many sports and so many operators now available. Some are better at offering the best odds on football, while another sportsbook may be best at offering the best odds on soccer. However, the two most used sportsbooks we recommend and use for the best odds are
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Now that you have the knowledge of how to read betting odds, you can go put them in to practice! Go check out our sportsbooks for New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Indiana, and Colorado and see what you can do!
FAQs
How are sports odds calculated?
The operator will calculate the probability of each outcome happening and will subtract the margin. If the actual probability is 2/1 (3.0 in decimal, 200 in American), the sportsbook will subtract their 5% margin, and the odds offered will be 19/10 (2.90, 190).
One of the most common types of sports betting lines when wagering on a game is the moneyline. You will see moneyline odds for every game and every sport played for the most part. While some games that have a very large spread but stray away from offering a moneyline, it is still one of the most popular styles of betting. A moneyline is a type of straight wager where the bettor wagers simply on who will win the contest, straight up – without any spread involved.
The easiest way to think of moneyline betting odds is that you are only betting on who wins the game. It does not matter how many points or goals they win by, all that matters is who wins. If you see a - (negative) symbol then that team is the favorite and the team with the + (plus) sign is the underdog. Keep reading below to understand how moneyline odds work or visit the homepage of ExplainBettingOdds.com to read about odds in general.
Understanding How Moneyline Betting Odds Work
The moneyline is used exactly the same no matter what sport you are betting on. All you must do is select who you believe will with the matchup without any other thought behind you. By taking the favorite, a bettor would have to risk more money than what their expected return would be. Because there is no point spread involved to handicap the game, the oddsmakers and books handicap the payouts to ensure their book stays balanced. Betting on the underdog will result in a much better payout, as the oddsmakers have deemed this team less likely to lose. As you take action on either the favorite or the underdog and select the moneyline, a ratio of $100 is used to represent the payouts.
Seems pretty easy right?
Well, it's definitely easier than betting the point spread, in which a team has to cover a spread installed for a match up however you should know that moneyline wagers do not payout the same as a wager against the spread. Keep reading to learn more about payouts when betting on the moneyline.
Understanding Payouts When Betting On The Moneyline
The biggest differences on the moneyline though, aside from no point spread, is the payout. The idea behind a point spread is to bring the two teams in a match up to a more even playing field. If a team is better than the other, the points given by the favorite brings the underdog to a more even field. That is not the case on the moneyline.
Simply put, you will have to risk a whole lot more money on a favorite to profit. On the flip side though, if you bet on the underdog, the potential profit is a lot bigger on the moneyline than betting on the point spread. That is because the likelihood of the underdog winning is slim on the moneyline.
Explanation Of How Moneylines Work In MLB
- Atlanta Braves -300
- Philadelphia Phillies +200
This is an example of a moneyline you could see in Major League Baseball. The Braves are matching up with the Phillies, with Atlanta set as the favorite. You can tell Atlanta is the favorite because of the minus symbol. It is indicative of the amount that must be risked to return a profit. At -300, a $1 profit is made for every $3 risked on the Braves to win the game. On the other side, at +200, that is the same as saying 2/1. That means, for every $1 risked on Philadelphia to win the game, a $2 profit is returned. Moneylines are simply straight-up betting lines with no spread involved, which is why they can range quite significantly.
Article: How To Read MLB Betting Odds
Understanding The Moneyline In Football
- Denver Broncos -300
- Jacksonville Jaguars +300
Here in this example, the Broncos have been set in the role of the favorite, going off at -300 on the betting line. That means, for every $3 risked on Denver to win, a $1 profit is returned. So if you wager $30 on Denver to win, you stand to win $10. On the flip side, the Jaguars are set as a +300 underdog. That means for every $1 risked on Jacksonville, a $3 profit is returned. So if you were to wager $10 on Jacksonville to win, you would profit $30. So you can certainly see the disparity on the payout and why someone might want to take the Jaguars over the Broncos. Also, taking underdog moneylines in parlay bets can be huge for your payouts!
Article: How To Read College Football Betting Odds - How To Read NFL Betting Odds
Understanding The Moneyline Odds In The NBA
- Los Angeles Lakers +200
- Miami Heat -200
Here in this moneyline example for the NBA, the Lakers are matching up with the Heat. Miami has been set in the role of the betting favorite, going off at -200 on the betting line. As such, a $2 wager is needed to profit $1. So if you were to wager $200 on Miami, as $100 profit is returned if the bet is won. On the other side of the equation, the Lakers are in the underdog role. at +200, that is the same as 2/1. So, for every $1 risked on L.A to win, a $2 profit is returned. You can see a wide range of profits for a moneyline, because the underdog and favorite can be far apart straight up with no point spread.
Article: How To Read NBA Betting Odds
Bovada Sportsbook - Best Sports Betting Site For Betting On The Moneyline
Moneylines are one of the most popular bets that players get involved in. There are always teams that are expected to beat other teams. The margin of victory may be pretty wide. The big thing that sticks out here is how big of a favorite some teams are.
There plenty of moneylines that might show a team being a heavy favorite and if players bet against them, that is a very huge profitable opportunity. Upsets are always going to happen so this is where a lot of bread can be won. There are also toss-up games as well that many players take a stab at as well and end up cashing big on Bovada. This is the place to get when it comes to Moneyline bets regardless if its blowouts or close games.
BetOnline Sportsbook - Best Sportsbook With Great Moneylines
It's clear that BetOnline is one of the best sportsbooks for players and the moneylines that are offered are one of the main reasons why. There is news coming out all the time about teams prior to games and as soon as news drop that effects a team, it also affects the Moneyline on BetOnline.
This is what gives BetOnline a bonus over other sportsbooks because of the consistent update of Moneyline and always moving. Place your bet early could also be a great idea because of the news that could swing later on that week or day before matchup. BetOnline has it set up to where if any changes need to have done that is possible.
SportsBetting's Sportsbook - Lots Of Betting Odds When Betting On Moneylines
There are a number of things that SportsBetting sportsbook offers that makes it one of the better online sportsbooks for players. When it comes to picking some of these games with favorable matchups, the Moneyline does really determine how much players want to put down on these games. Most of the time, these games have the favorite that doesn’t really see players win a lot unless they put a lot of money down. When it comes to upsets, however, this is where players can have their lives change by just one pick.
Players with SportsBetting account have seen the Moneyline and have taken advantage of that the line because of the possible big payout. When you see a team like the Lions be underdogs against the Arizona Cardinals pull out the victory, only one thing is happening and that is big money is being handed out to all the players who took the chance on SportsBettting.
MyBookie Sportsbook - Money Line On MyBookie One of The Best
It is hard to find any sportsbook that has better moneylines that MyBookie. The way Moneyline works is very simple and most of the time it changes depending on what players are playing and are not. This often changes and sometimes in the favor of a player's bet. MyBookie is known for having a lot of people cash big when picking the Moneyline and the reason why is simple, their lines are better.
See the underdog betting like at (+115) is not bad but MyBookie will have that same under down with a Moneyline of (+130) which would win players more money if they were to bet on that underdog team. This is why shopping for lines is so important for all players. You can like a team to win a game and have decided you want to place a wager on them but once shopping around for lines, there is a big chance that you will find that MyBookie has the best moneylines.
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